The economy shrank by 0.4 per cent between July and September,
defying economists' expectations that Britain had emerged from
recession with 0.2 per cent growth.
"The GDP number was a real jolt," said Danny Gabay, a former
Bank of England economist who works at Fathom Financial
Consulting.
Andrew Smith, chief economist at KPMG, said the third-quarter
performance made "this the worst recession in modern time".
Britain's output is now down almost 6 per cent from its peak and
has contracted for six successive quarters, making it the longest
recession since quarterly records began in 1955.
The figures were a setback for Prime Minister Gordon Brown.
With less than eight months before the next general election, Mr
Brown is counting on an economic revival to boost his Labour Party
and erase the advantage in opinion polls the Conservatives have
enjoyed for almost two years.
Production and construction industries contracted broadly in the
third quarter, as expected, but a 0.2 per cent fall in output in
the dominant services industry surprised economists.
The Office for National Statistics figures, released on Friday,
showed that every sector contracted except a flat public
sector.
Economists said the drop in output made it more likely that the
Bank of England would expand its £175 billion ($309 billion)
quantitative easing (QE) program in November. Gilt yields fell
sharply on heightened expectations that QE would be extended.
Britain's banks are benefiting from loose monetary policy, with
low interest rates making it cheaper to borrow, while QE is
enabling banks to make extra profits on their gilt
transactions.
The pound weakened because of the poorer outlook for the British
economy. It closed down 2.4 cents against the US dollar at $1.63,
and off 1.7 cents against the euro at €1.0878, wiping out
gains early last week. Yet equity markets shrugged off the GDP
data, with the FTSE 100 rising 35.2 points to 5242.57.
Britain is lagging behind other major economies, including
Germany and Japan, which returned to growth in the second
quarter.
"This recession looks more like a depression," said John
Philpott, chief economist at the Chartered Institute of Personnel
and Development.
A combination of rising house prices, rising equity markets and
a slowing rate of unemployment growth had widely supported the
expectation the British recession ended in the third quarter.
Alistair Darling, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, insisted the
figures were in line with his forecasts. "I've always been clear
that growth will return at the turn of year," he said.
Shadow chancellor George Osborne said "Britain urgently needs
new economic leadership".
Economists said the first estimate from the Office of National
Statistics could be revised when it had gathered more data.
"Previous GDP figures have tended to be revised up more than down,
and the same may well apply here," Citigroup economist Michael
Saunders said.