Banks held us all to ransom during the credit crunch
– and it looks like they intend to keep doing so.
When rates fell dramatically, they cited funding pressures and
passed on only a proportion. In fact, the RBA slashed by 4.25
percentage points in eight months but the average mortgage variable
rate dropped only 3.7 points. However, even that seemed generous
next to credit cards, which fell by just 1.2 points.
Now that rates are on the way up again they are – you
guessed it – citing funding pressures and threatening to
raise them more.
So let's look at what's happened so far.
Analysis for AFR Smart Investor by data researcher InfoChoice
shows few transgressions on the first rate rise.
After a two-day stand-off, where the big banks held fast to see
by how much the others would move and avoid the negative publicity
of going first, ANZ did so by just 0.25 points, followed within
five hours by the others.
Most lenders increased standard variable rates by that same
amount, within a slightly longer-than-average six days (Blue Sky
Credit Union and RAMS are two that moved more).
Fixed rates over all periods increased a similar amount in a
similar time, although non-banks on average lifted higher.
Remember, though, that fixed rates have been rising since April;
the average three-year rate, for example, is some 2 percentage
points above the 5.5 per cent SVR.
Expectations of the speed of rises increased last week when the
governor of the Reserve Bank, Glenn Stevens, said there was a
danger in being "too timid" in removing the current emergency
levels. But he also noted independent moves by the banks – as
threatened – would be taken into account.
So would the banks be justified in such moves? A study by the
RBA suggests not.
The June RBA Bulletin found bank funding costs increased almost
1 percentage point with the financial crisis, an amount most have
already recouped by failing to move in lock-step with official
rates.
The problem is this doesn't matter when the global financial
meltdown has put them in a position of power. The Big Four's new
home loan market share went from 60 per cent pre-crisis to 81 per
cent post-crisis, as consumers fled to perceived safety.
Meanwhile, non-bank lenders that depend purely on money markets
for their funding saw that dry up, prompting the Government to
inject an extra $8 billion into that market just last week to
maintain competition.
Ultimately it is up to us whether we wear excessive increases.
Quite aside from relative rate moves, the difference between the
best and worst mortgage rate is usually 1.4 percentage points, so
chances are you can get a better deal elsewhere.
This will more than likely be from an institution other than a
big bank (see our Best Buy tables on page 56) – and latest
figures from RateCity, which show the Big Four accounted for only
18.6 per cent of applications through its site in July, suggest we
are realising it.
Don't forget, either, that rate rises, while a blow for
borrowers are a boon for savers. The very same issue that could see
mortgage holders slugged – the difficulty lenders are having
raising money in wholesale markets – could see savers
rewarded as banks jockey to leverage their advantage: the ability
to make up funding shortfalls with deposits. For instance, ANZ
lifted some savings rates by double the RBA's move, 0.5 points.
It's not all bad.