How do I do that?
You'd think from all the commentary that interest rate movements
only affected people with mortgages. But falling rates are also an
issue for investors and those with savings. On the face of it,
lower interest rates are bad news for savers because they get a
lower return on their investment. But, as Aberdeen Asset
Management's fixed income product and investment specialist Leanne
Bradley points out, there are compensations.
Such as?
A falling interest rate environment is where fixed-interest
products come into their own. Just as borrowers can lock in a fixed
rate loan to protect themselves from further rate rises, investors
can take out a fixed rate to protect against further rate cuts.
Many institutions reduced their rates leading up to last week's
official rate cut but, says Cannex financial analyst Peter Arnold,
you can still lock in a term deposit for six months or one year at
an interest rate of 8 per cent.
"There are definitely some good deals to be had," he says. "The
top deposits for six months and one year are still paying more than
8 per cent but once you get out to two or three years,
[institutions] aren't wanting to commit to higher rates."
Term deposits tend to be secure, though Arnold says you should
check how interest is paid before signing up. He says some deposits
pay interest monthly but others pay less frequently, which can
reduce the effective interest rate (as opposed to the nominal rate,
which is usually the one advertised). He says it's also worth
checking whether the interest is paid out or compounded, as
compounding can also improve your effective rate. Those with more
money to invest could consider fixed-rate products such as
longer-dated bank bills, debentures and unsecured notes. The notes
in particular often provide higher yields, though they may not be
as secure.
Bradley says the prospect of further rate cuts also has created
an argument for investors to reconsider bonds (and bond funds).
Bonds have been out of favour in recent years (thanks to rising
interest rates and the credit crunch) but she says they can provide
capital gains as well as a solid yield.
How does that work?
Unlike term deposits, bonds and other fixed-interest investments
can be traded, which means their value fluctuates with
interest-rate movements. When interest rates fall, the value of
existing fixed-interest investments will rise, as investors are
prepared to pay more for the yield on offer. Bradley says a rate
cut of one percentage point would typically lead to a
three-percentage-point gain in three-year bond prices, all other
things being equal.
So with further rate cuts on the horizon, the chances of capital
gains are good.
Aberdeen says the attraction of fixed-interest investments has
been enhanced by the fallout from the subprime crisis. Its
fixed-income portfolio manager, Gavin Goodhand, says the subsequent
flight to quality has led to a widening of credit spreads (the
extra yield demanded from investments over a "safe" benchmark such
as government bonds). Since July last year, he says, high-grade
spreads have widened tenfold. This compares with the last credit
crunch in 2002, where spreads widened to only half these
levels.
"Due to current market conditions, we believe we are seeing
once-in-a-lifetime opportunities in the high-grade credit and
mortgage-backed securities market and many well-regarded
international investors are pointing to Australian residential
mortgage-backed securities as the pick of the bunch," Goodhand
says.
Many advisers have steered clear on bond funds in recent years
but Goodhand says the current market conditions have created a
fertile environment for bond managers to outperform.
1 year term
deposits - $10k
NOMINAL
COMPANY INTEREST %
Australian Defence CU 8.55
Bank of Queensland 8.5
Sandhurst Trustees 8.3
Select Credit Union 8.2
Defence Force CU 8.2
Gateway Credit Union 8.15
Bankwest 8.1
Victoria Teachers CU 8
TAFE & Community CU 8
Bankstown City CU 7.85
6 month term
deposits - $10k
NOMINAL
COMPANY INTEREST %
NSW Teachers CU 8.5
Australian Defence CU 8.45
Gateway Credit Union 8.4
Sandhurst Trustees 8.4
Defence Force CU 8.3
Elders ERBonline 8.3
Elders Rural Bank 8.2
Select Credit Union 8.1
BankWest 8.05
Members Equity Bank 8.05
source: www.cannex.com.au