GUD grief. After years of drought ravaging Australia's lawns -
especially mine - GUD dispatches Victa lawnmowers to join other
icons such as Vegemite, Aeroplane Jelly and Speedo in the hands of
the Yanks.
Then it rains in bucketloads - luckily it still owns Oates
buckets - on backyards across the nation. Talk about bad
timing.
Still, the big wet will help its swimming pool, spa and pump
business.
And, truth be told, Victa would sooner or later have felt the
heat of cheaper Chinese imports.
If GUD sounds a bit of a ragbag of companies (did I mention it
also produces gloves and cleaning cloths?) I couldn't agree
more.
The funny thing is that CEO Ian Campbell reportedly thinks
suggestions of mergers or takeovers with Australia's other few
remaining manufacturers like Hills or GWA would mean "you would end
up with a bit of a ragbag of small businesses".
Hmm, maybe it depends on how many there are. As it is GUD makes
car parts, Sunbeam appliances, pool equipment, Monarch pools and
Davey pumps, door, filing cabinet and safe locks and Oates cleaning
products such as brooms, mops and scourers. It says it's on the
prowl for two businesses to replace Victa, one of them in a new
field for it, but then it could also be seen as a takeover target
itself.
While its shares spent years going sideways, they spiked last
year as the dollar rose and have since dropped back. Although GUD
is rightly seen as a winner from a strong dollar, unfortunately
that's only half the story.
It also pays the price of booming commodity prices (metals and
plastics are major components) and rising labour costs from its
Chinese plants. Analysts say it's a solid stock but without
exciting growth potential.
You'd invest in GUD for the fully franked dividend yield of more
than 7 per cent rather than the prospect of easy capital gains.
But then that probably makes it the perfect stock for this
market, especially when there's no obvious downside.
It has a strong balance sheet and relatively low gearing.
With its non-ragbag of businesses, there's always something
doing well at any given moment.
Certainly, if nothing else, GUD is well managed.
And, thanks to dams filling up again, farmers will need pumps
for irrigation.
Advantages
* Cashed up
* Stronger dollar
* Well managed
* High dividend
Disadvantages
* Acquisition risk
* Sluggish growth
* Economic slowdown
* Labour costs
Verdict
Brokers aren't excited about GUD with one buy, one sell and
seven hold recommendations. But it pays a great dividend - more
than interest from a high-paying online bank account after tax.