Credit ratings of Australian financial institutions have come
under review in recent weeks as ratings agencies assess the damage
being done to banks, building societies and credit unions by the
shortage of funds in global capital markets and the sharp increase
in the cost of funding.
Customers of a financial institution whose rating is downgraded
may face higher borrowing costs, although such an outcome is by no
means certain.
A rating assesses a company's capacity to meet its obligations.
It is a measure of creditworthiness and also financial stability
(see box below).
One consequence of a rating change is that it affects the price
at which companies can raise funds in the capital market. Banks and
other financial institutions get a lot of the funds they use to
provide home loans, credit cards and margin loans from
institutional investors that use the capital markets.
A high rating, such as Aaa or Aa, means the company is very
creditworthy and, as a consequence, can raise funds at competitive
rates.
Consumers get the benefit as these competitive rates are passed
on to them.
If a financial institution's rating goes down its cost of funds
will increase to reflect the higher risk the investor is taking
when it buys its credit.
In theory, says Patrick Winsbury, the senior vice-president in
the financial institutions group at Moody's Investors Service, the
higher cost of funds in the wholesale market brought on by a rating
downgrade could lead to higher interest rates for customers.
Winsbury says this would not follow automatically and customers
should not assume that it would.
"There are a lot of variables," he says. "Financial institutions
take [the] cost of funds into account when they set rates but they
are also looking at their competitive position in the market.
"And a downgrade may not increase their cost of funds all that
much. Financial markets are volatile and banks are very
opportunistic when it comes to raising funds. They go into the
market when they see a good deal and stay out when prices are
high.
"There is not necessarily a direct link between wholesale and
retail cost of funds. Lenders might seek to offset higher funding
costs in other ways, such as by changing fee structures, or
cross-selling other products," he says.
Moody's announced a few weeks ago that it had put Heritage
Building Society under review for a possible ratings downgrade. At
the same time it changed the ratings outlook for Newcastle
Permanent Building Society from stable to negative.
Winsbury says that apart from its reviews of the two building
societies it has not changed an Australian bank's rating for some
time.
However, the ratings agency changed its outlook for BankWest
debt and deposit ratings to negative from stable at the end of
April. This followed an identical ratings action in relation to
BankWest's parent, the British bank, HBOS.
Moody's also issued a general commentary on the credit union
sector, saying its credit outlook is negative due to pressures from
the global financial crisis. Moody's expects to see merger activity
in the industry as funding pressure forces institutions to look for
economies of scale.
Winsbury says recent ratings actions are all a consequence of
the problems in the global credit market.
"Pressures include increased funding costs, closure of
securitisation markets and the potential for a slowing domestic
economy [to affect] asset quality," he says.
Winsbury says customers should not fear that a ratings downgrade
signals the imminent failure of the financial institution. "The
banking industry regulator, the Australian Prudential Regulation
Authority, and the Reserve Bank set tough standards for local
financial institutions," he says. "It would be very rare to see a
local bank with a rating below investment grade level."
Newcastle Permanent Building Society and HeritageBuilding
Society have A2 deposit and credit ratings. Winsbury says this is a
mid-range rating. BankWest has an Aa3 debt and deposit rating.
What the ratings mean
Moody's bank deposit ratings are opinions of a bank's ability to
repay punctually its deposit obligations. Here are Moody's
Long-Term Rating definitions:
Aaa Obligations rated Aaa are judged to be of the highest
quality, with minimal credit risk.
Aa High quality and subject to very low credit risk.
A Upper-medium grade and subject to low credit risk.
Baa Moderate credit risk. They are considered medium-grade and
as such may possess certain speculative characteristics.
Ba Speculative elements and subject to substantial credit
risk.
B Speculative and subject to high credit risk.
Caa Of poor standing and subject to very high credit risk.
Ca Highly speculative and likely in, or very near, default; some
prospect of recovery of principal and interest.
C The lowest-rated class of bonds, typically in default, with
little prospect for recovery of principal or interest.
Moody's adds numerical modifiers 1, 2 and 3 to each generic
rating classification from Aa to Caa.
The modifier 1 indicates the obligation ranks in the higher end
of its generic rating category; 2 indicates a mid-range ranking;
and 3 indicates a ranking in the lower end of category.