Imagine being able to buy shares in the Tax Office, one
privatisation I notice that isn't on the national agenda.
Just think, no risk and all upside.
The next best thing would have to be the shares in the companies
that get our super since, like tax, the payments are compulsory. As
I said, no risk and all upside.
You'd be making money out of everybody else's super payments.
Suckers.
Who knows, super shares might even be better than super itself
since you could sell them any time and get your money whenever you
want, plus there's a 30 per cent tax credit if they're franked.
Not only do fund managers and advisers have a captive market in
compulsory super, valued at some $1 trillion and growing every
year, there are rising wages and high employment - but voluntary
contributions are set to soar.
After all, super is about to become the best tax dodge around.
Er, legally I mean.
The story so far
To see what I mean, check out what happens after July if you're
60 or over.
No more tax from the day you start drawing down your super, not
even on lump sums.
What's more, you can keep your money in the super system as long
as you like to make sure it's never taxed again.
And you can add more to super when you're retired, except for
the over-65s, who will have to be working a minimum number of
hours, converting income from being taxable to tax free.
Even that spare $1 million you were wondering what to do with is
allowed to go into super before July 1 when the new ceiling takes
effect, ensuring it becomes tax-free forever after, except for the
15 per cent tax on any income it earns before you take it out again
at 60 or over.
If you're under 60, there's salary sacrificing as well, where
you get your boss to pay some of your earnings into your super fund
instead of to you.
This can pull down your tax rate from as high as 46.5 per cent
in the top income bracket to just 15 per cent.
And once in super, the earnings are also taxed at 15 per cent
instead of your marginal tax rate until you draw it down at the
other end.
I could go on, but I gather you have things to do.
Suffice to say, putting money into super is, in most cases,
better than investing it anywhere else, unless you're on to
something we don't know about, including negative gearing.
Amazingly, super can even beat paying off a mortgage which has,
say, 10 years left to run.
That's because more money is going into super than on the
mortgage thanks to the differences in tax. With salary sacrificing
85 cents of every dollar you earn goes into super, compared with
only 53.5 cents available to pour into the mortgage if you're on
the top bracket.
It's even been suggested that you're better off making your
mortgage an interest-only loan, and using the extra cash to live
off as you salary sacrifice more into super.
This should be done only under adult supervision.
Anyway the point is that super has become unbeatable for a
tax-effective return, so there's going to be a mountain of money
there for the taking by fund managers.
Taking stock
And guess what? Apart from industry super funds, the biggest
fund managers are listed banks and financial stocks.
Advance, AMP, AXA, BT, Colonial, MLC and Perpetual all have
listed parents.
As you can see from the table, the leading listed fund managers
happen to have a chain of financial advisers as well. Super might
have become the best tax break around but it sure isn't the
simplest.
You might not consult an adviser about whether to buy an
investment property, but you probably will when it comes to
super.
Especially if you're over 55 and so are allowed to work as well
as draw down some super which, if done the right way, gives more
tax breaks than you can poke a stick at.
The table also shows super stock recommendations based on a
survey of brokers by CommSec.
But the most super-sensitive stock would have to be AMP, one of
the great turnaround stories of the sharemarket.
It's testimony to its underlying strength that the AMP name
emerged unsullied from some of the maddest things an Australian
company has done. Maddest at the time of writing, that is.
It's come so far that it even returned some capital to
shareholders earlier this year.
Not only is funds management a large part of its business, but
AMP even benefits from rising interest rates. That's because the
returns on the investments of its insurance arm rise from higher
revenue from deposits, the money market and bonds - so long as the
sharemarket doesn't fall as a result, that is.
Still, AMP remains accident prone. It recently received a wrap
over the knuckles from the Australian Securities and Investments
Commission over advisers recommending clients switching super
funds, although it appears the problem was more about not leaving a
detailed enough paper trail.
AMP gets the thumbs up from tipsheet Fat Prophets which says it
has 16 per cent of the super market and 12 per cent in managed
funds.
"Research company DEXX&R expects the corporate
superannuation market to more than double over the next four years
and the retail market to grow by about 80 per cent," Fat Prophets
says.
"With a leading position in an expanding market, we believe AMP
has potential for further growth."
Another super share is Perpetual which has quietly reinvented
itself from the old trustee company to an investment powerhouse,
boasting one of the most highly regarded Australian share
funds.
The trouble is that it doesn't come cheap - the shares are
trading about $72 give or take a dollar or two.
Both AMP and Perpetual are trading at price earnings (p/e)
ratios above 20 which makes them almost 50 per cent more expensive
than the banks. AXA Asia-Pacific is slightly cheaper, though still
above the banks.
Bank on it
But relatively less of the banks' business is devoted to funds
management, with the ANZ the least involved.
Even so, there's no mistaking the trend. The banks are moving
away from interest to fee income and can't get on the super
bandwagon fast enough.
St George's wealth management business, for example, grew three
times faster than its home lending last year.
Although the profit results of the past two weeks showed that
the super and wealth management businesses of all the banks grew
strongly, analysts have paid surprisingly little attention to the
trend.
On the contrary, there has been some teeth gnashing at the
likely rise in bad debts as rates rise, albeit from a historically
low level, and how interest margins are falling.
True enough, any investment in bank stocks runs these risks.
Which, by the way, have been raised by analysts for at least each
of the past three years.
Since Fat Prophets predicted bank shares would tumble by 20 per
cent, they must have gone up by at least that.
But as a long-term play, there's no doubt that retirement wealth
management is where the future is for the banks.
And probably sooner rather than later.
The booming sharemarket has created a virtuous circle for the
super providers.
As super contributions rise, about a third is ploughed directly
into the local sharemarket. That pushes the market up, generating a
momentum which in turn makes investing voluntary contributions into
super more attractive.
Not to mention all those disgruntled property investors who must
be wondering about the virtues of negative gearing when they could
be salary sacrificing into super at a lower risk and lower tax.
Meanwhile, the increasing returns of the funds mean more fees
for super providers.
The beauty of compulsory super for the banks is that it's, well,
compulsory.
So even in a market downturn the money still pours in, although
the falling return would put a ceiling on fees since the total
amount under management would be lower than in a rising market.
In fact, the only way their rivers of super could dry up would
be competition from other fund managers, or a large rise in
unemployment.
But super is one area where bigger is better since you want to
know that where your money is going is backed by a strong
institution. Like a bank.
And it's not as if super choice is a threat. There's been no
stampede of fund switching and, in any case, many of the competing
industry funds are managed by the established fund providers.
DIY double dipping
The beauty of super stocks is the chance to get back some of the
fees you've paid to your fund manager as fully franked dividends
which bring their own tax breaks.
For DIY super funds, which are taxed at just 15 per cent, it
would be adding another link into the virtuous circle of
sharemarket, super and fees.
Investing in super stocks would be double dipping - you get all
the tax benefits of putting money into super, then you collect more
from the dividends, plus a refund.
That's because fully franked shares come with a 30 per cent tax
credit, giving DIY super funds excess credits of 15 per cent which
are refundable.
And since the super is being invested in super, there can't be
much risk.
The biggest dividend paying super stock is Perpetual, with a
Telstraesque yield of almost 6 per cent which, after taking the
franking credit refund into account, is a yield approaching 10 per
cent.
SUPER SHARES
Shares ASX code Fund Advisers Brokers say
AMP AMP AMP Capital Investors AMP Hold
Aust Wealth Management AUW United Bridges Buy
AXA Asia Pacifi c AXA AXA, Generations AXA, ipac Buy
Challenger CGF Synergy Genesys Buy
Commonwealth Bank CBA Colonial First State Colonial Hold
Count Financial COU Count Hold
Macquarie Bank MBL Macquarie Macquarie Buy
NAB NAB MLC MLC, Godfrey Pembroke Hold
Perpetual PPT Perpetual Perpetual Hold
Promina PMN Tyndall Asteron Hold
St George SGB Advance, Sealcorp Securitor Hold
Westpac WBC BT Westpac Hold
WHK Group WHG WHK Hold