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The right call on Telstra

Annette Sampson | November 1 2006 | The Sydney Morning Herald & The Age (subscribe)

The strategy: To ramp up my T3 exposure.

Do I want to do that? You'd have to be pretty gung-ho on Telstra's prospects to want to gear into T3 but then some people are. And products are fast appearing to help them do just that.

What sort of products? The two main options are margin loans and instalment warrants, though providers are also offering more highly geared T3 exposure through products such as trading warrants and contracts for difference (CFDs). These products are not new: you can use them to invest in most major stocks. But T3 is already a leveraged product - you're paying $2 upfront of about $3.50 worth of Telstra stock. So this is an opportunity to further boost that leverage. That's both good and bad. On the plus side, leverage will boost that much-touted 14 per cent yield to even higher levels as you'll be putting up less cash upfront. If Telstra's share price rises, it will also boost your potential capital gains. But if Telstra's price falls, consider this. T3, as a leveraged exposure to Telstra, will fall by a greater extent than Telstra and the potential losses on any leveraged T3 product are even greater.

How does it work? Let's look at margin loans first. Say you have $5000 to invest in T3. One margin lender, CommSec, will lend up to 75 per cent of your purchase price if you include T3 in a wider portfolio for the loan, or 70 per cent if you want to borrow against T3 alone. So you could use the loan to buy $20,000 of T3 instalments.

If T3 pays its forecast dividend of 28 cents next year, that's a franked income of $2800 on the T3 holding. Even after allowing for interest on the loan at 8.65 per cent (or $1297.50 in the first year), you'll have about $1500 of positive cashflow versus $1400 if you'd just invested your $5000.

The dividends should also carry about $1200 of franking credits and you should generally be eligible for a tax deduction on your interest costs, leaving even more extra cash in your pocket.

Of course, if you held onto T3 for 18 months, you'd still be liable for the second instalment, plus the eventual repayment of the loan.

Instalment warrants work on a similar principle. But instead of you borrowing the money (and exposing yourself to margin calls if T3's price falls), these products are internally geared.

One issuer offering a range of T3 instalments is Macquarie Bank. Pia Cooke, from Macquarie's Equity Markets Group, says it has developed a range of instalments for short, medium and longer term investors.

Depending on which product you choose, their maturity date will give you exposure to one, two, or all three of T3's dividends.

She uses the example of an investor who wants to boost their return from only one dividend - the first dividend due to be paid next February.

Instead of paying $2 for T3 instalments, you can pay 82.5 cents for a Macquarie T3 instalment maturing in March. If you have $50,000 to invest, that means you're getting exposure to 60,606 underlying T3 instalments, versus 25,000. If, as expected, the February dividend is 14 cents, the investor in the Macquarie instalment will receive $8485 of dividends plus $3636 of franking credits - versus $3500 and $1500 with the straight T3 investment. Even after allowing for $4563 of interest and put costs on the investment (which protect you from losing more than your original investment), you receive grossed-up income of $7558 v $5000 from T3.

The costs and initial instalment warrant payments depend on the product chosen and the maturity date.

Cooke says Macquarie also has five-year self-funding instalments for longer-term investors who want to defer the second T3 payment.

Macquarie uses the example of an investor with $50,000 who pays $1.65 upfront for a five-year instalment and borrows 50 cents. By using the instalment he is able to get exposure to 30,275 underlying T3 securities, versus 25,000.

With this product, the dividends are applied to reducing the loan and when the second T3 instalment is due, this is automatically added to the loan amount. No further payment is required until the instalment matures.

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