Can two people invest better as one? Nicole Pedersen-McKinnon calls
the experts.
When local boy Milo Vulin met effervescent American Julie at an
international film festival in 2002, it was love at first sight.
Four months later, they were married.
What they had in common extended well beyond the norm - to a
keen eye for an investment opportunity.
"I think I was 15 or 16 when I got my first mutual fund," says
Julie. Meanwhile Milo, who runs his own management consultancy
business, was busily buying property two houses in close proximity
to the city, both of which he paid off quickly.
Using the equity in these homes, the couple would now like to
relocate to a more upmarket suburb, and rent out both original
properties. But they are concerned that prices might still be
over-inflated and that the market might have further to fall.
There's also the future direction of interest rates to consider. To
combat a rate rise, is it wise to take out a fixed rate
mortgage?
"We think property is the best investment," Milo says. However,
they are still keen to have some stockmarket exposure. They would
like to supplement Julie's existing US holdings which are "very
aggressive" and predominantly in tech stocks in the US (including
Cisco, Dell, Micron and Microsoft), as well as a health care fund
from Vanguard with more Australian stocks.
Julie and Milo have a very long-term investment horizon for
these stocks, possibly even their retirement, and want them to
deliver high growth.
To this end, how important is it that they invest in stocks with a
high dividend yield? And what sectors look set to make the best
total returns?
Financial snapshot
Julie and Milo Vulin
Occupations Julie freelance writer; Milo management consultant and
lecturer.
Salaries $100,000
Assets
Property: $475,000 home and $225,000 investment property
Super (incl US): $160,000
Investments (incl US) $145,000 in bonds, shares and managed
funds
Cash in the bank $35,000
No Liabilities
The average week
After-tax income
Salaries $1200
Rental income $200
Investments $100
Total $1500
Expenses
Living expenses $700
Total $700
No risk insurance
Shares: Go for longer-term outlook and don't fixate on
high-dividend yields
Peter Warnes, research director of Aspect Huntley
Milo and Julie, sectors that look positive over the longer term
include energy utilities, non-discretionary retail, health, banks
and financial services. Within those sectors, the stocks you could
look at include Alinta, Woolworths, Ramsay Healthcare and Westpac.
Well-managed and shareholder-friendly companies like Wesfarmers and
Record Investments can also be considered.
Long-term investors should not ignore stocks with a dividend
yield of, say, 4 per cent if the company can consistently lift
profits and dividends by, say, 12 per cent per annum. A company
with these attributes selling at $1 and paying a dividend of 4
cents per share yields 4 per cent. In 10 years, under the impact of
compounding, the 4 cent per share dividend has increased to 12.4
cents per share and, while the stock might still yield 4 per cent
if the price appreciates to $3.10, the yield at cost has jumped to
a very attractive 12.4 per cent.
But don't just look for high-yielding stocks at a point in time
as the growth in dividend per share may disappoint over the long
term.
Alinta, Westpac and Record Investments are selling on relatively
attractive full-year 2005 yields of about 5.5 per cent and possess
better-than-average growth prospects. Investing for the long term
with a starting yield of 5.5 per cent should, with the benefits of
compounding, result in a substantial total return over the next
decade.
Finally, on Cisco, UBS rates it "neutral" with a target price of
$US20 (based on a price-earnings ratio of 25 and a full-year 2005
option-adjusted earnings per share of US78 cents).
Property: Consider selling your house now before moving
upmarket
Steve Blaker from Logical Finance Management in Sydney
The general consensus is that property will remain flat, with
capital growth lagging behind other asset classes. Although past
performance should not be used as an indicator for future returns,
history demonstrates that in the long run international shares have
outperformed all other asset classes.
Having said this, it seems as though your decision to purchase
another property is for lifestyle purposes. In using the equity in
both properties and renting out your current home you will be
converting your CGT-free asset (your home) to a taxable asset and
producing two additional income sources which it appears you don't
need. Further, as both properties are debt-free, you don't benefit
from negative gearing.
Consider selling your home and using the proceeds to purchase
your new home. The property market may well have more downside
potential, making this an ideal time to sell. This places you in a
great position where you will have sold on the upper end of the
cycle and will have the cash and time to sit back and wait until
home prices have really flattened.
When the time comes to choose a mortgage, you may choose a split
loan, which allows you to borrow a portion at a fixed rate and a
portion at a variable rate to hedge your interest-rate bets.
Most lending institutions now allow you to make extra repayments
on such loans of between $5000 and $10,000 without penalty.
Steve Blaker is an authorised representative of Associated
Planners Financial Services.
Gold: Set your investment goals before trying to capitalise
on commodities
Paul Moran from Cameron Walshe in Melbourne
The decision as to which sector or individual investment is best
should always be determined by your long-term goals. These goals
then set your investment parameters such as income, capital growth,
tax effectiveness and flexibility.
Investing in gold can be done a number of ways. You could buy
bullion, buy shares in gold mining companies, or speculate on gold
futures. All of these aim to make money if the gold price rises,
but speculating on futures also provides the option of making money
if the price drops.
Investors have historically used gold investments as a hedge
against catastrophic financial events, or as a speculative
investment. From a diversification perspective, you might even
consider a parcel of commodities, rather than just gold.
Gold-linked income plans tend to consist of strategies to
produce profits from short-term volatility in gold prices generally
from trading futures. This is quite a high-risk process (often
presented in a way that seems low risk!), but if this suits your
risk appetite it might be appropriate for a small portion of your
overall portfolio.
Vanguard funds in Australia provide broad access to a particular
investment market (such as Australian shares or listed property) by
passively holding most of the shares that make up the sector's
index (such as the ASX-200).
Direct shares provide the most specific upside to capitalise on
opportunities that arise from time to time, but do need to be
closely managed by the investor.
If you expect to live in the US in the long-term, currency
should really be hedged to the US dollar, but if you think you will
stay in Australia, look at Australian-dollar investments.